The Oklahoma City Thunder have lost three straight games but are looking to move up to 2-0 against the Denver Nuggets this season on Sunday night.
Denver is currently just 16-21 ATS, and it faces an OKC team that has covered 24 of its 38 games so far this season (the third highest percentage in the NBA).
So, how to bet on this division game? It starts with the latest odds via WynnBET:
While I’m not sure OKC is in a position to cause another upset, the Thunder have been very solid to cover the home gap this season, going 12-6 as a home underdog.
Denver, on the other hand, is just 3-4 ATS when favored on the road, and 8-11 ATS as an overall favorite this season.
The Nuggets like to play slowly (24th in the NBA in pace), and that should help OKC keep this game under control even though they’re dead last in the league in terms of offensive standings.
Nikola Jokic was just 13 points in the first clash between these two teams, and with Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray still out, the Thunder can still focus their defense on Jokic and dare the rest of Denver’s roster for the to beat.
OKC has been too good ATS this season for me to lose him at home to one of the few teams he has beaten this season.
Choice: Thunder +7 (-110)